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Post by beth on May 2, 2018 20:21:51 GMT -5
Stay tuned. We're on countdown for the Run for the Roses on Saturday, May 5th.
More information and frills over the next 2 days.
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Post by beth on May 2, 2018 20:58:14 GMT -5
As it stands today, here are the horses and the odds. You'll be welcome to wager Karma points as usual.
These odds will probably change, but at least you can see who's running and whether a name jumps out at you and gives you a nudge.
Horse Odds
1 Firenze Fire 50-1
2 Free Drop Billy 30-1
3 Promises Fulfilled 30-1
4 Flameaway 30-1
5 Audible 8-1
6 Good Magic 12-1
7 Justify 3-1
8 Lone Sailor 50-1
9 Hofburg 20-1
10 My Boy Jack 30-1
11 Bolt d'Oro 8-1
12 Enticed 30-1
13 Bravazo 50-1
14 Mendelssohn 5-1
15 Instilled Regard 50-1
16 Magnum Moon 6-1
17 Solomini 30-1
18 Vino Rosso 12-1
19 Noble Indy 30-1
20 Combatant 50-1
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Post by beth on May 4, 2018 23:21:34 GMT -5
Here are some changes in the odds. If you want to wager KP, get the bets in before 5 p.m. EST tomorrow.
#1) Firenze Fire: 69-1 (50-1)
#2) Free Drop Billy: 41-1 (30-1)
#3) Promises Fulfilled: 42-1 (30-1)
#4) Flameaway: 53-1 (30-1)
#5) Audible: 6-1 (8-1)
#6) Good Magic: 8-1 (12-1)
#7) Justify: 7-2 (3-1)
#8) Lone Sailor: 29-1 (50-1)
#9) Hofburg: 23-1 (20-1)
#10) My Boy Jack: 5-1 (30-1)
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Post by beth on May 4, 2018 23:22:42 GMT -5
I'll take
Jusetify to win
Audible to place
Good Magic to show
10 KP on each
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Jessiealan
xr
Member of the Month, October 2013
Posts: 8,726
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Post by Jessiealan on May 5, 2018 8:58:14 GMT -5
Justify is too obvious to ignore.
So - Justify to win, Mendelssohn to place and Magnum Moon to show.
I'll wager 10 KP on each.
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Jessiealan
xr
Member of the Month, October 2013
Posts: 8,726
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Post by Jessiealan on May 5, 2018 9:50:27 GMT -5
Derby Day Commentary
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Post by beth on May 5, 2018 9:56:46 GMT -5
My Old KY Home and start of post parade
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Post by beth on May 5, 2018 9:59:30 GMT -5
Run for the Roses
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Post by Sysop3 on May 5, 2018 14:03:34 GMT -5
Justify, Magnum Moon try to break ‘Apollo Curse’
is the favorite to beat a crowded and competitive field at the 2018 Kentucky Derby, and should he deliver on that promise would do something no horse has done in 136 years.
Justify has 7-2 odds to win on Saturday at Churchill Downs, leading the pack. The horse is undefeated, but so far that only means three races, since Justify never raced as a 2-year-old. The last horse to win the Kentucky Derby without racing as a 2-year-old was Apollo way back in 1882.
Magnum Moon, with 13-1 odds, also never raced as a 2-year-old. Saturday will be his fifth career race. It’s the fourth race for Justify, who is trained by four-time Kentucky Derby winner Bob Baffert.
“I’ll take superior talent over seasoning any day,” Baffert told The Star-Ledger on Thursday. “Seasoning is if you fall behind and once you take a horse out of his rhythm, it doesn’t matter if they’ve run 20 times. In a 20-horse field like the Derby, you worry more about the starting gate and the post you drew than an Apollo Curse.”
Other horses to watch Saturday include My Boy Jack and Mendelssohn, both at 5-1 odds, Audible at 6-1 and Good Magic at 8-1.
NBCSN starts Saturday’s Kentucky Derby coverage at noon, then NBC takes over at 2:30 p.m. ET. The post time for the Runs for the Roses is set for 6:50 p.m., with online streaming of the whole day available through NBC Sports Live Extra.
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Post by Sysop3 on May 5, 2018 14:07:28 GMT -5
I'll put 10 KP each on Magnum Moon, Good Magic and Audible - each one to win.
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Post by annaj26 on May 5, 2018 20:16:11 GMT -5
It looks like you all had a general idea but nobody got it on the nose. LOUISVILLE, Ky. — Since 1882, when the Standard Oil Trust was formed, Franklin D. Roosevelt was born and the electrical age began with the flip of a switch that lit up one square mile of Lower Manhattan, no horse has won the Kentucky Derby without racing at the age of 2. The horse that did it in 1882 was the chestnut gelding Apollo, named after the Greek god of many things, including the paradoxical powers to both heal and plague. He caught the favorite Runnymede in deep stretch to win by a half-length and earn the heaping sum of $4,560. No one in attendance could have predicted how long it would take for another 3-year-old to emerge who did not race at 2 but would still sniff the roses on the first Saturday in May. Enter Justify, the undefeated chestnut colt with the big white blaze who had won three straight races in 2018, including the Santa Anita Derby, and is trained by the Triple Crown-winning Bob Baffert. Maybe Apollo would get the best of him at the Kentucky Derby, or maybe enough was enough, and the right horse had finally come along to send the curse of Apollo the way of the billy goat and the Bambino. On Saturday at Churchill Downs, amid a steady and driving rain, Justify proved he was such a horse, making his move around the far turn and then fending off Good Magic to win the 144th Derby by two and a half lengths in 2 minutes 4.20 seconds. He earned a $1,432,000 paycheck for his connections and rewarded his thoroughly soaked backers with $7.80 on a $2 bet to win. Audible finished third. Photo more www.nytimes.com/2018/05/05/sports/kentucky-derby.html
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Post by Dex on May 6, 2018 7:41:50 GMT -5
I'll take Jusetify to win Audible to place Good Magic to show 10 KP on each Beth, if you had of reversed Audible and Good Magic, you'd have won the whole thing. Pretty cool. I'll change out the KPs for those who wagered by the end of the day. Some of us are leaving now to get in a couple of hours at a county park, flying our drones. Back later.
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Post by beth on May 6, 2018 14:49:13 GMT -5
Thank you, Dex. Remember to keep it very simple. I could pick the winners across the board and still find some way to mess it up and go home with less.
Justify was pretty obvious and a helluva horse. Hope he gets a chance at the Triple Crown.
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Post by Dex on May 7, 2018 8:06:55 GMT -5
Hang on for your points. I don't have my notepad with me.
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Jessiealan
xr
Member of the Month, October 2013
Posts: 8,726
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Post by Jessiealan on May 7, 2018 16:57:34 GMT -5
Do bring the winning numbers in as soon as possible, Dex.
I fear I may have come out on the short end.
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