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Post by beth on Nov 8, 2016 21:21:51 GMT -5
Remember, these are projections and some are pretty close. Nothing's going to be for sure until morning ... probably. Much closer than I thought it would be.
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:24:54 GMT -5
Wow the betting is almost evens.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2016 21:32:38 GMT -5
Wow the betting is almost evens. This is going to turn.
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:37:57 GMT -5
From the numbers I am looking at it looks good for Trump it seem he will get the big swing states, most of them. Also Michigan and Virginia are blue here edition.cnn.com/election/interactive-electoral-college-map/That is 29 off HIllary and on to Trump a swing of 58 He is 64 behind on their projection, but well if he gets Florida 29 he is head.
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:42:08 GMT -5
If I had to call it now I would give it a Trump win.
However that is assuming most of the rest go as expected.
So I have him 23 ahead.+ 15 for North Carolina, that has him on 308
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:43:47 GMT -5
This was my electoral college bet
As it stand I am likely to lose it with Trump doing better then 309. It is quite a narrow band.
Trump 4/6 fav. Should have left my bet on!!
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:47:51 GMT -5
Clinton coming back in Virginia though.
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:49:08 GMT -5
Must admit I am feeling rather anxious at the thought of a Trump win now.
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:51:27 GMT -5
Trump is gonna win it, and win by quite a bit.
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Post by beth on Nov 8, 2016 21:52:33 GMT -5
From the numbers I am looking at it looks good for Trump it seem he will get the big swing states, most of them. Also Michigan and Virginia are blue here edition.cnn.com/election/interactive-electoral-college-map/That is 29 off HIllary and on to Trump a swing of 58 He is 64 behind on their projection, but well if he gets Florida 29 he is head. I'm surprised Trump is doing so well in the swing states. Kind of discouraging at this point, but as with the Brexit vote in the U.K., the pundits sometimes get it wrong. This one is a nail biter for sure!
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 21:55:15 GMT -5
If the map here i correct Trump is winning the swing states so far that are reporting and he is also ahead in about 3 big states which they pencilled in for Clinton.
Clinton may win Virginia but they had given it to Clinton in their figures anyway..
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 22:00:27 GMT -5
From the numbers I am looking at it looks good for Trump it seem he will get the big swing states, most of them. Also Michigan and Virginia are blue here edition.cnn.com/election/interactive-electoral-college-map/That is 29 off HIllary and on to Trump a swing of 58 He is 64 behind on their projection, but well if he gets Florida 29 he is head. I'm surprised Trump is doing so well in the swing states. Kind of discouraging at this point, but as with the Brexit vote in the U.K., the pundits sometimes get it wrong. This one is a nail biter for sure! People will often not admit to voting for a politically incorrect candidate, also the Clinton vote may not had been as enthusiastic as Trumps. I based my electoral college prediction on a pollster who asked people to put a number 1-100 on how likely they were to vote. It seem their method was the most accurate. Indeed it looks like I may have under estimated the Trump vote, so I will lose my bet because he does even better than I expected. It is pretty complicated to calculate though..
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Post by kronks on Nov 8, 2016 22:06:51 GMT -5
Anyhow it is very close Clinton leads in Virgina. (just)
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Post by beth on Nov 8, 2016 22:12:05 GMT -5
The problem I'm not sure Clinton ever managed to get around was the large number of Dems and Progressives who were Bernie's army and who may not have been able to jump over to Clinton though Bernie asked them to. A lot has been said about the split in the GOP but less about the split in the Democratic party. It's actually been just as serious .. maybe more so.
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Post by beth on Nov 8, 2016 22:13:26 GMT -5
VA is a difficult call. Kaine's home state, but a coal state. Split off into factions.
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